Hybrid Threats and Deterrence Effectiveness in Europe
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Graduate Program in International Studies, Old Dominion University, United States
Submission date: 2026-04-20
Final revision date: 2026-04-26
Acceptance date: 2026-05-03
Online publication date: 2026-05-06
Publication date: 2026-05-06
Corresponding author
Chick Edmond
Graduate Program in International Studies, Old Dominion University, 5115 Hampton Blvd,, 23529, Norfolk, United States
Przegląd Nauk o Obronności 2025;(22):21-48
KEYWORDS
ABSTRACT
Objectives:
The current European security landscape is characterized by the growing intersection of historical security challenges (i.e., "traditional" security issues) and new forms of hybrid threats. These changes call for a significant re-evaluation of the role of deterrence in today's world. Traditional deterrence approaches have focused on the use of military capability as well as credible retaliatory threats. However, the recent development of hybrid warfare, including cyber-attacks, disinformation campaigns, economic coercion, and clandestine sabotage has made it increasingly difficult to distinguish between times of war and times of peace. This research argues that existing frameworks for deterring adversaries will increasingly fail to meet the challenges presented by these evolving hybrid threats because most of these frameworks were developed to prevent or mitigate the consequences of traditional conventional and nuclear conflict.
Methods:
Based on qualitative analysis of official documentation and reports from governments, international organizations and other sources, this research explores how European governments and organizations perceive and respond to hybrid threats.
Results:
Findings suggest that hybrid warfare increases the level of uncertainty, misperceptions and risk of escalation associated with the security dilemma. Moreover, findings show that hybrid warfare undermines the credibility of deterrence. As such, the research presents the concept of "multi-domain deterrence," which proposes an integrated approach to preventing hybrid threats through the use of all available tools, including military, economic, technological and information-based mechanisms.
Conclusions:
Overall, the research suggests the need for flexible, resilient and collaborative security approaches that move beyond traditional deterrence models.
FUNDING
The Author declares no funding was provided.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
This study used only qualitative data from publicly available information such as peer-reviewed articles, government and international organizations' reports, and case studies.
No primary or new, restricted data was collected or analyzed by the researchers; all sources referenced can be located through the publisher's website, repository or database
of the institution where it resides.
Purpose: This description of the methodology in the study is descriptive of the systematic literature review, policy analysis and an interpretative synthesis of peer-reviewed articles, government and international organizations reports, and case studies. In addition, the study clearly states that "the primary data in this study include articles, textbooks, public speeches and public archives"; therefore, the study was limited by using "secondary data". A statement verifying that the study utilized publicly available data and no primary or new, restricted
or quantitative data sets were developed, is necessary and appropriate for transparency.
The data was available on public repository such as google scholar.
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